Reliability Modeling of Political Processes

Sahib Esa, Boyan N. Dimitrov

Research output: Contribution to conferencePresentation

Abstract

Probability offers some suitable tools for modeling political processes in a country's life. It is well known that a party, or coalition can not govern a country without the support of more than 50 % of the voters, or the members of the National Assembly. However, the dynamics in political life is very similar to the "k=out-of-n" reliability systems for a political party. In the same time, a coalition is consisted by several parties (systems of similar type), and in order to govern must sustain more than 50 % of the governing entity. We explore Probabilistic ideas from queuing theory and reliability to create a reliability model for a political unit from different points of view: Existence (duration of life), governing survivability, life time distribution, longevity, resistance.

Original languageAmerican English
StatePublished - Jun 22 2009
EventSixth International conference on Mathematical Methods in Reliability -
Duration: Jun 22 2009 → …

Conference

ConferenceSixth International conference on Mathematical Methods in Reliability
Period6/22/09 → …

Disciplines

  • Mathematics

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